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VIX® Views

Extended Trading Hours Planned for SPX and VIX Options – By Matt Moran - Investors from around the world have expressed interest in Extended Trading Hours (ETH) for key risk management tools, and, since June 2014, the trading ho...
3 hours ago
Horan Capital Advisors

The S&P 500 Index Nearing A Technical Bounce Level? - The month of January was not kind to U.S. equity investors. The S&P 500 Index ended the month down 3.00% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 3.58...
4 hours ago
Musings on Markets

Discounted Cashflow Valuations (DCF): Academic Exercise, Sales Pitch or Investor Tool? - In my last post, I noted that I will be teaching my valuation class, starting tomorrow (February 2, 2015). While the class looks at the whole range of valu...
4 hours ago
VoxEU.org

The power of the street in Egypt’s Arab Spring - Corruption and favouritism have motivated people to protest against the ruling regimes. In Egypt, in particular, the protests brought down Hosni Mubarak'...
17 hours ago
Institutional Investor: Trading & Technology

Deflationary Forces Are Gaining Strength Around World - With oil driving inflation rates down, in many cases below zero, interest rates look likely to stay lower for longer.
19 hours ago
Attain Capital Managed Futures

Weekend Reads: Super Bowl Edition - Articles we found interesting this week
2 days ago
NAAIM

The Important Message From Earnings Season - Oil didn’t go down. Bank stocks in Greece didn’t crash. The dollar didn’t make a new high. And rates didn’t... [ Read More ]
2 days ago
CFA Institute

Film Review: Money for Nothing - [image: Film Review: Money for Nothing]The documentary film Money for Nothing: Inside the Federal Reserve is a critical evaluation of the policies pursued ...
2 days ago
Avondale Asset Management

Company Notes Digest 1.29.15 - Each week I read dozens of transcripts from earnings calls and presentations as part of my investment process. Below are some of the most important […] ...
2 days ago
Peterson Institute Update

A Path Forward for Greece - The people of Greece have spoken, loud and clear, by delivering a resounding victory to Syriza, the left-wing party that won the election last weekend: A...
2 days ago
Russell Investments

QE, Europe style - Wondering about the implications of Europe’s decision to step into the quantitative easing game? Russell’s Senior Investment Strategist in London, Wouter S...
3 days ago
Mauldin Newsletters

2015 Investment Themes - “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it,” says my friend Gary Shilling as he kicks off today’s Outside the Box. He’s referring to his investment themes for 2015. ...
4 days ago
Institutional Investor: Banking & Capital Markets

Prime Minister Narendra Modi Has High Hopes for India - Narendra Modi is shaking up India with his pro-growth government, but it will take time to fulfill the sky-high expectations he’s raised.
4 days ago
HousingViews

Home Price Gains Continue to Slow According to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices - Data through November 2014 shows a continued slowdown in home prices nationwide, but with annual price increases in nine cities. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Pri...
5 days ago
361 Capital Research

Utilizing Global Macro Strategies - The post Utilizing Global Macro Strategies appeared first on 361 Capital.
6 days ago
MSCI Research

Global Equity Market Watch - January 2015 - The *Global Equity Market Watch* is a monthly publication that looks at global equity markets through the lens of the Barra Global Equity Model (GEM2). I...
6 days ago
Euro Pacific Brokers’ Corner

Tsunamis Most Often Come Without Warning - Our weekly commentaries provide Euro Pacific Capital's latest thinking on developments in the global marketplace. Opinions expressed are those of the wri...
1 week ago
Economic Commentary (Peter Schiff)

Switzerland Wins As Its Central Bank Surrenders - Our weekly commentaries provide Euro Pacific Capital's latest thinking on developments in the global marketplace. Opinions expressed are those of the wri...
1 week ago
Liberty Street Economics

Just Released: January Business Leaders Survey Indicates Regional Business Conditions Are Finally Back to Normal - The New York Fed’s January Business Leaders Survey indicates that the regional economy kicked off the New Year on a positive note.
2 weeks ago
Thought Leadership

FA Talks: Two Sides of the Same Coin? - Emily Wellikoff recently chatted with Michael McClary, Chief Investment Officer at TOPS®/ ValMark Advisers, to get his perspective on managing volatility.
2 weeks ago
MSCI Insights

2015 ESG Trends to Watch - [image: jpg_msci_esgtrendstowatch_300x250_without.jpg]*Happy New Year from all of us at MSCI ESG Research!* If 2014 was any guide, there is a shortening ...
3 weeks ago
Barron's Interview

A Contrarian View of Emerging Markets - An interview with Brian Singer, head of dynamic allocation strategies at William Blair in Chicago.
4 weeks ago
Bloomberg - Op-Eds

Good Poker Players Aren't Lucky - An Idaho court rules that poker is a game of skill, not a game of chance like craps or roulette. If card players are lucky, maybe the Justice Department wi...
8 months ago
Economix

Economix Meets the Gales of Change - Economix is coming to an end, but it will be succeeded by The Upshot, a new politics, policy and economics site.
9 months ago
Whitebox Research

Friday Fun: Read the Fine Print - A Russian man didn’t like the terms offered to him by a local credit card company, so he took it upon himself to make them more favorable: But instead of r...
1 year ago

Seeking Alpha (Editor Picks)

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Quant Blog Currents

Gekko Quant

Hidden Markov Models – Trend Following – Sharpe Ratio 3.1 – Part 4 of 4 - Part 3 of this series demonstrated how to train a HMM on a toy model, this post will focus on how to actually go about modelling real life data. A trend fo...
6 hours ago
Portfolio Probe

US market portrait 2015 week 5 - US large cap market returns. Fine print The data are from Yahoo The S&P 500 stocks are used (as implied by Wikipedia on 2015 January 11) that still survive...
1 day ago
World Beta - Faber

Everything Old is New Again - Reading old investment books is somewhat of a hobby of mine (I know probably need a better hobby). Glancing up on my bookshelf there are titles most have ...
2 days ago
Quantifiable Edges

A Look At Struggling “1st Of The Month” Bullishness - Friday is the last trading day of January. The first day of the month is well known for having a seasonal bullish tendency. Interestingly, I have noted thi...
2 days ago
Mark Hulbert

Mark Hulbert: Investors, it doesn’t matter when the Fed raises rates - There’s no evidence linking stock market performance and official interest rates, argues Mark Hulbert.
2 days ago
Overnight Edges

Overnight Overview 1/29/15 - You don’t often see such strong selling on a Fed Day and you don’t often see an Odds Sheet like we saw on Wednesday either. Below is a view of how it looke...
3 days ago
Rrsp Strategy

Dual momentum with Value and Momentum factor portfolios - Dual Momentum is a robust portfolio allocation tool. Relative 12 month returns are used to rank assets. Shelter is sought in a safe asset when 12 month a...
3 days ago
Paper (Subscription)

Beta-arbitrage strategies: when do they work, and why? - Volume 15, Issue 2, February 2015, pages 185-203 10.1080/14697688.2014.938446 Gianluca Oderda
4 days ago
Alvarez Quant Trading

Trading stock splits - Trading stock splits is something that I have read about for long time but never researched. This article, A simple way to beat the market with stock split...
4 days ago
Exegetic Analytics

Book Review: R for Business Analytics - The book R for Business Analytics by Ajay Ohri sets out to look at "some of the most common tasks performed by business analysts and helps the user navigat...
4 days ago
VIX and More

Average Annual Normalized VIX Futures Term Structure, 2004-2014 - One graphic I post periodically that never fails to generate a great deal of interest among traders, strategists and other volatility aficionados is my n...
4 days ago
Sanz Prophet

Interview - Interviewing the Quants: An Inside Look With “Sanz Prophet” http://godelsmarket.blogspot.tw/2015/01/interviewing-quants-inside-look-with.html You can also ...
5 days ago
Scott's Investments

Snow Day Investment Reads - Many of you are likely enjoying a snow day today. Below are some investments readings to keep you occupied: The Difference Between Good and Bad Markets & ...
5 days ago
System Trader Success

Long/Short Symmetry Effect on Trading System Performance - Although some quants prefer long/short symmetric trading systems, there is no conclusive evidence that they offer any advantages, especially when dealing...
6 days ago
CSS Analytics

A Simple Tactical Asset Allocation Portfolio with Percentile Channels - I prefer presenting new tools and concepts, but I know that there are a lot of readers that would like to see how they can be applied to creating strategie...
6 days ago
The UK Stock Market Almanac

Stocks with the worst recent annual performance - The following table shows the 13 FTSE All-Share stocks that have had the highest number of consecutive negative annual returns to end 2014. The last column...
1 week ago
Optimal Momentum

And the Winner Is... - Until recently, the longest back test using stock market data was Geczy and Samonov’s 2012 study of relative strength momentum called “212 Years of Price M...
1 week ago
Six Figure Investing

How Does VXX’s Daily Roll Work? - All volatility Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) use indexes that track a mix of two or more months of the CBOE’s VIX Futures. Calculating this mix is not t...
1 week ago
joy of data

As a Data Scientist it is my Obligation to support #nobagida, #nopegida and any other #no[a-z]{2}gida today :) - Political Opinion on a Scale from 0 to 2π [crayon-54cec8511b1d2989955062/] Just came back with my girlfriend from the demonstration at Sendlinger Tor. Noti...
1 week ago
Quintuitive

Adding back the Swiss Franc, or not? - The recent move by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to remove the peg between the Swiss Franc and the Euro has caused lots of turmoil (see here and here) in a...
2 weeks ago
Quantified Strategies

End of Month Strategy in S&P 500 – Update - In July 2012 I published a strategy about an end of month strategy in S&P 500. Here are the criterias: Entry: Day 29, 30 or 31 of the month must be negativ...
2 weeks ago
Volatility Made Simple

QuantStrat TradeR’s VXV:VXMT Strategy - This is a test of a strategy from Ilya Kipnis of QuantStrat TradeR for trading VIX ETPs like XIV and VXX. Ilya provides a framework for testing the robustn...
2 weeks ago
Alphaism

Non-linear Twists in Stock & Bond Correlation - Stocks and bonds are negatively correlated. Translation: they must move against each other most of the time. Because intuitively, stocks bear higher risk t...
2 weeks ago
Greenbackd

Introducing Singular Diligence: Free Webinar on Intrinsic Value, Wednesday, January 14 at 4.30pm EST - In 2015 I have partnered with Geoff Gannon and Quan Hoang of Gannon and Hoang on Investing, and Marketfy to produce a new investment newsletter called Sing...
2 weeks ago
Quantitative Trading (epchan)

Trading with Estimize and I/B/E/S earnings estimates data - *By Yang Gao* Estimize is an online-community utilizing 'wisdom of crowds' to offer intelligence about market. It contains a wide range of crowd-sourced e...
3 weeks ago
GestaltU

Dow 20,000: Is 2015 the Year? - It’s that time of year again. Yup, that jolly, happy time of year when the soothsayers of Wall Street start trumpeting their views on what’s going to hap...
3 weeks ago
Timely Portfolio

Will I fail? - I have committed to building an htmlwidget a week in 2015. To isolate and separate the commitment from this blog, I set up a new site Building Widgets and G...
4 weeks ago
Troyshu

Warren Buffett: insights into his character, obsession with OPM - I tend to idolize Warren Buffett a little, something rekindled after recently reading Making of An American Capitalist. He’s brilliant, humble, … Continue ...
4 weeks ago
DShort

S&P 500 Snapshot: Down for the Day and Month, But Up Big for the Year - [image: Click to view] * Doug Short* The S&P 500 opened fractionally higher and rose to its 0.25% mid-morning intraday high, at which point some year-en...
4 weeks ago
Quantitative Finance

Optimizing the effective number of bets – an example using Canadian retail etfs - Hello all, It is Christmas time and that means family members wanting “stock market” advice. My usual response is not to do any analysis/advice for family ...
5 weeks ago
Daily Quant Ideas

Merry X-Max and advanced boxing day - [image: merry-xmas]Merry X-Max and advanced boxing day Date $SPY t+1 % t+2 % t+3 % t+4 % t+5 % 1st +’ve Cls % 24-Dec-14 ~208.21 ?? ?? ?? ?? ?? ?? 24-De...
5 weeks ago
FOSS Trading

Updated quantmod on CRAN - We've Moved! Update your Reader Now. This feed has moved to: *http://blog.fosstrading.com/feeds/posts/default* Update your reader now with this changed s...
1 month ago
QuantTrader

Adding LaTeX Support in Ghost - In the previous post we described the process of adding nice syntax highlighting in Ghost blog. We are missing one more important step to make a truly ma...
1 month ago
Don't Fear the Bear

A stock bond model based on the average investor allocation to equities - This post makes use of a ratio presented in a post by the Philosophical Economics blog. I highly recommend spending some time at that site if you haven’t ...
1 month ago
Falkenblog

Requisite Assumptions for the Persistence of the Low Volatility Anomaly - My new paper was motivated by Frazzini and Pedersen's model of the low volatility anomaly. Though I think they are profoundly wrong, I think the paper was ...
1 month ago
Dekalog Blog

MFE/MAE Indicator Test Results - Following on from the previous post, the test I outlined in that post wasn't very satisfactory, which I put down to the fact that the Sigmoid transformatio...
1 month ago
Systematic Edge

CRSM Code - The code below represents the CRSM algorithm. It is adopted to the SIT framework. I have refactored the code so that its is easier for the user to use and ...
2 months ago
Alea

How putting $10M into UBeam illustrates everything that is wrong with tech investing today. - How putting $10M into UBeam illustrates everything that is wrong with tech investing today.: lookatmeimdanny: Last night I came across a headline in the ...
3 months ago
Quantitative Finance Collector

Sell in May and Go Away: Evidence from China - I have co-authored a short paper with a friend in Zhejiang University, forthcoming in the Finance Research Letters, titled "Sell in May and Go Away: Eviden...
3 months ago
Adventures in Analytics and Visualization

Degrees of Choice: A modification of a WSJ graphic - This post uses ggplot2 and rCharts to modify a grouped bar chart that appeared in an article that appeared online on October 19, 2014 in Wall Street Journa...
3 months ago
NAS Trading

A nice study on the VIX Index spike - I wanted to call attention to a great post at Volatility Made Simple. I like it because it looks at what most studies fail to take into account, which is ...
3 months ago
Math Trading

In defense of a quantitative approach to financial markets - I have the feeling that there is some subtle yet spread misconception about data-driven research in financial markets and I will take this article: Seeking...
4 months ago
Quantitative Trading Systems

List of my videos and presentations - The list that follows includes links to some of my presentations, videos, books, and blog: For books, articles, blog. Begin here: http://www.blueowlpress....
5 months ago
amfm Blog

‘Canary in a Coal Mine’ - The saying ‘a canary in a coal mine’ is often used to describe something that warns of looming trouble by it’s reaction to adverse conditions. Coal miners...
5 months ago
Systematic Investor

Adjusted Momentum - David Varadi has published two excellent posts / ideas about cooking with momentum: VIX-Adjusted Momentum Error-Adjusted Momentum I just could not resist t...
6 months ago
Portfolio Cafe

Smart(er) Beta and a New Tactical Index - [image: bbindex]Recently there has been considerable focus on smart beta or fundamental factor weighted indexing. Smart beta indexes are transparent, ...
6 months ago
qusma

Trend Followers Make Forecasts Just Like Everyone Else - This post was prompted by Michael Covel’s interview Traders’ Magazine in which he claims that trend followers don’t try to make predictions. This idea that...
7 months ago
The Market Fade

Sector Performance and Market Direction: 2007 and Now - Trends in sector rotation have been well covered both as a leading indicator for future equity market returns and also as a tool in tactical asset allocati...
7 months ago
TurnKey Analyst

BIG TurnkeyAnalyst News! - Turnkey Readers, We are transitioning all TurnkeyAnalyst.com and Empiritrage.com content to the Alpha Architect. The old Turnkey Analyst tools will be av...
8 months ago
Condor Options

Changes - I’m happy to announce that I have accepted a position as an equity derivatives analyst at BGC Financial, L.P. in New York. My work starts this week, and ...
8 months ago
Bigger Capital

Note to Self: The Importance of not Giving a Shit about Conventional Wisdoms - The next day, after my credential had expired and I’d headed back to New York, I sent my friend David Laurila, a former colleague of mine at Baseball Pro...
9 months ago
Empiritrage

Website Transition - As an FYI, we are transitioning to a new web portal over the next week. Some links to content and material may be broken. We are sorry for any inconvenie...
9 months ago
Larry Connors

Every Day Profitable But One Since January 2008! - An inside look at Virtu, a high frequency trading firm which just filed to go public. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1592386/000104746914002070/...
10 months ago
Whitebox Research

Friday Fun: Read the Fine Print - A Russian man didn’t like the terms offered to him by a local credit card company, so he took it upon himself to make them more favorable: But instead of r...
1 year ago
A Trader Journal

Enhancing TA trading rules performance using filtered Price Bars - Volatility is an interesting subject. For some it is risk and for others it is opportunity. In a way I think it is both. For a trader, price volatility cre...
1 year ago
rbresearch

Shiny with PerformanceAnalytics Example - The folks at Rstudio have done some amazing work with the shiny package. From the shiny homepage, “Shiny makes it super simple for R users like you to turn...
1 year ago
The R Journal - Latest Issue

Volume 4/2, December 2012 - Editorial Contributed Research Articles What's in a Name? , Paul Murrell It's Not What You Draw,It's What You Don't Draw , Paul Murrell Debuggi...
2 years ago
Quantivity

Multi-Asset Market Regimes - An astute reader suggested reproducing the results from a recent article on regime analysis by Kritzman et al., Regime Shifts: Implications for Dynamic Str...
2 years ago

Show 25 Show All

Charts & Timing

Slope Of Hope with Tim Knight

Icthus Shorts (Part 3 of 4) - Repeating yesterday’s explanation: It’s been said that there is an inverse correlation between the confidence a trader has and the outcome of whatever the...
13 hours ago
Trader Edge

01-30-2015 AAR Strategy Update Posted - The January 30, 2015 AAR Strategy update is now available on the AAR Subscribers page. If you are not currently a subscriber and would like to learn more ...
1 day ago
Stock Trader's Almanac

January Barometer Gives Notice $SPY $DIA $QQQ - Devised by Yale Hirsch in 1972, the January Barometer has registered eight major errors since 1950 for an 87.7% accuracy ratio. This indicator adheres to p...
2 days ago
Evil Speculator

Alea Iacta Est - I’m going to cut right to the point this morning. Yesterday near the open equities were at the edge of the abyss and the odds strongly supported continua...
2 days ago
Canadian Couch Potato

The Wrong Way to Think About Withholding Taxes - If you live in a big city, you can save a few cents per litre on gas by travelling to the boonies. But you also understand that it doesn’t make sense to ...
2 days ago
Stockbee

Stockbee 50: Anticipation Setups for Jan 30, 2015 - The Stockbee 50 is a list of stocks with above average momentum. You can use the list for anticipation breakout or for breakout trades. Anticipation allows...
2 days ago
Trader Kingdom

Automate Your Strategies for Emotionless Trading - Title: Automate Your Strategies for Emotionless Trading Speaker: Jim McQuarrie Company: Strategic Daytrading Struggling with consistency? Hard presse...
2 days ago
Tom McClellan

Dollar Is Wandering Off Track - [image: Fed Funds versus Dollar Index] It is widely believed among economists and currency analysts that currency values follow the relative interest rat...
3 days ago
ETF Expert

3 ETF Investing Themes For A Wobbly U.S. Bull - Presumably, the Great Recession ended in June of 2009. Three months earlier on March 9, the stock market anticipated the modest recovery that is still inta...
3 days ago
TrendFollowing Trader

The New Drivers of Europe's Geopolitics - This is an erudite piece from Stratfor on geoeconomic and political issues running through the failing disparate cultural/political/economic union experime...
3 days ago
bclund

A Very Long Email From Louis CK - Everybody knows Louis CK. It’s hard to actually remember a time when he wasn’t ubiquitous. He’s now a superstar of comedy, in fact, just having finished a...
5 days ago
Morpheus Trading Group

Top Stock Screener Gets A Tune-Up (Including New Intl. Market Data) - We recently made some major changes to the back-end of the Morpheus Stock Screener that we’re excited about, and we want to keep you in the loop as well. F...
5 days ago
PeterLBrandt

Major eruption ready to occur in global stock markets - Get ready for the big blast Global stock index charts are poised for massive advance pending a breakout (but, will it happen?) [Note: Factor […] The p...
1 week ago
Joe Fahmy

Don’t Fight The Liquidity - Earlier today, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced their version of Quantitative Easing (QE). As I have been saying for a long time, we’re in […] ...
1 week ago
Following the Trend

Why managing your own money is a bad trade - A great trader who decides to manage just his own money made a poor trading decision. If you trade anyhow it’s irrational not to manage other people’s mone...
3 months ago
Derek Hernquist

Why Active OR Passive? - “Democracy is the worst form of government, except for all the others” Winston Churchill Not sure if it’s me, or the bull market, but the passive>active ...
4 months ago
Chart Swing Trader

The Top Five Stocks I Am Watching Right Now - Although the S&P and Dow might say otherwise, the market has been in a downtrend/correction for almost two months now. For some reason, however, I am a bi...
9 months ago
Trader, Trading & Risk Psychology.

Behavioural Finance Article for Society of Technical Analysis(STA) Magazine - April 2014 - The following link is from an article I wrote for the Society of Technical Analysts Magazine. The aim of the article was to provide an introduction to the ...
9 months ago
A Trader Journal

Enhancing TA trading rules performance using filtered Price Bars - Volatility is an interesting subject. For some it is risk and for others it is opportunity. In a way I think it is both. For a trader, price volatility cre...
1 year ago

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ETFs Roundup

Best And Worst ETFs Of The Week Amid Earnings Deluge - The earnings calendar was chocked full of surprises this week, as both positive and negative announcements were made from a wide array of large-cap stock...
1 day ago
Investopedia Advisor

Playing the Rising Robotics with the ROBO ETF - The robot revolution is at hand. Big dollars are being spent on new startups and the devices are becoming more commonplace each day.
2 days ago
Bull of the Day

Bull of the Day: Alaska Air (ALK) - Bull of the Day -
2 days ago
Bear of the Day

Bear of the Day: Barracuda (CUDA) - Bear of the Day -
2 days ago
TrendFollowing Trader

The New Drivers of Europe's Geopolitics - This is an erudite piece from Stratfor on geoeconomic and political issues running through the failing disparate cultural/political/economic union experime...
3 days ago

Tech Currents

Data Center

Drunk on Friday night? Then YOU probably DIDN'T spot Facebook's privacy tweak - A good time to bury plain English ambiguous policy Facebook updated its privacy policy on Friday – a day traditionally chosen by politicians and football ...
5 hours ago
Startups

This Search Engine Wants More Human Input - [image: SciNet] Does the ever-increasing volume of digital information demand a more powerful search interface? One that allows for more complex queries to...
7 hours ago
Biomedicine

Seven Must-Read Stories (Week Ending January 31, 2015) - Another chance to catch the most interesting, and important, articles from the previous week on *MIT Technology Review*.
2 days ago
Computing

Seven Must-Read Stories (Week Ending January 31, 2015) - Another chance to catch the most interesting, and important, articles from the previous week on *MIT Technology Review*.
2 days ago
Networking

Government network services tender deadline slips again - Crown Commercial Service pushes back deadline for tender submissions to Network Services framework to give suppliers more time to prepare
2 days ago
Communications

U.S. To Develop DNA Study of One Million People - An Obama initiative seeks to channel a torrent of gene information into treatments for cancer, other diseases. U.S. President Barack Obama is proposing t...
2 days ago
Web

U.S. To Develop DNA Study of One Million People - An Obama initiative seeks to channel a torrent of gene information into treatments for cancer, other diseases. U.S. President Barack Obama is proposing t...
2 days ago
Storage Bits

Eggcyte: the webserver you can put in your pocket - The Egg is a webserver; a storage device; a Wi-Fi hotspot; and, maybe, a security service. It makes the "mobile" Internet a reality: it fits in your pocket...
5 days ago

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