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Peterson Institute Update

The Hague Penalizes Russia for Yukos Confiscation - In a major new blow to President Vladimir Putin, a three-member Arbitral Tribunal of the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague has ruled unanimousl...
15 hours ago
CFA Institute

Reality Check: What Is India’s New Budget Telling Investors? - [image: Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, center, speaks to media on his arrival at the Indian Parliament House in New Delhi, India, Wednesday, June 4, ...
16 hours ago
Attain Capital Managed Futures

Even Bad Diversification Works - The point, as Josh Brown points out, is to have shorter drawdowns. The point is to be able to regain a peak sooner. The point is to be able to not panic at...
16 hours ago
Institutional Investor: Trading & Technology

Manulife Turns to Agronomists and Foresters to Beat the Market - With future returns in the public equity and bond markets looking paltry, the big Canadian insurer is offering up a whole menu of alternatives.
20 hours ago
VoxEU.org

Research quality assessment tools: Lessons from Italy - Assessing the quality of academic research is important – particularly in countries where universities receive most of their funding from the government. T...
1 day ago
Horan Capital Advisors

Week Ahead Magazine: July 27, 2014 - Except for the pullback in the equity markets on Friday, this past week was pretty uneventful. I guess I should say uneventful except for small cap stock i...
1 day ago
VIX® Views

VIX Last Week – 7/27/2014 - VIX rose over 5% last week despite the S&P 500 being basically flat on the week. There could be some of that anticipation we see in VIX (as opposed to reac...
1 day ago
NAAIM

The Most Important Things To Understand About This Market Are… - This remains one of the most hated bull moves that I’ve seen in my career. Stocks have been running higher... [ Read More ]
1 day ago
Institutional Investor: Banking & Capital Markets

Luxembourg Angles to Become Europe’s Financial Gateway to China - The grand duchy is leveraging its mutual fund business and euro zone status with success, overtaking London for dim sum bond issuance.
2 days ago
Mauldin Newsletters

Time to Put a New Economic Tool in the Box - [E]conomists are at this moment called upon to say how to extricate the free world from the serious threat of accelerating inflation which, it must be admi...
2 days ago
Musings on Markets

Investment Advice from the Federal Reserve: Unusual, unwise and unseemly! - On July 15, Janet Yellen made news with her semiannual policy testimony to Congress, with her views on interest rates, bubbles and the debt market. After m...
2 days ago
Barron's Interview

Redefining Value, so Even Google Makes the Cut - How Sound Shore Management has done well, even in sharp market corrections.
3 days ago
Avondale Asset Management

Company Notes Digest 7.25.14 - These are some of the top insights that I’ve gathered from this week’s earnings calls. Full notes can be found here. The Macro Outlook Construction. […]...
3 days ago
361 Capital Research

A Big Wave Coming in Alternative Mutual Funds - The post A Big Wave Coming in Alternative Mutual Funds appeared first on 361 Capital.
3 days ago
Economic Commentary (Peter Schiff)

Yellen: Where No Man Has Gone Before - By: Peter Schiff Friday, July 25, 2014 Although Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen said nothing new in her carefully manicured semi-annual testimony to C...
4 days ago
Russell Investments

Mid-year outlook: Beware that peaceful, easy feeling - Russell Investments’ Global Head of Investment Strategy Andrew Pease provides an overview of the newly released Strategists' 2014 Global Outlook - Third Qu...
4 days ago
Liberty Street Economics

Becoming More Alike? Comparing Bank and Federal Reserve Stress Test Results - Stress tests have become an important method of assessing whether financial institutions have enough capital to operate in bad economic conditions.
1 week ago
HousingViews

US Foreclosures drop 2% in June to Lowest Level Since June 2006 - RealtyTrac® released its Midyear 2014 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report™ on July 17th, which shows a total of 613,874 U.S. properties with foreclosure filing...
1 week ago
MSCI Insights

The Growing Use of MSCI's RiskMetrics RiskManager in the APAC Broker-Dealer Market - The Asia-Pacific (APAC) broker-dealer market has seen a significant transformation over the past ten years. With the liberization of markets has ...
2 weeks ago
MSCI Research

Market Spin Cycle - The Rotation Continues... - In "Market Spin-cycle: Uncovering Style and Sector Rotation in a Flat Market", we investigated the sector and investment style rotations in the US market ...
2 weeks ago
Thought Leadership

Sector Distribution of the High Quality Portfolio and its Performance in Different Market Environment - Understanding the sector distribution
2 weeks ago
Euro Pacific Brokers’ Corner

Time To Do Less Not More - By: John Browne Friday, June 27, 2014 The current situation in Iraq is a modern tragedy. But in more practical terms it is a very stark illustrati...
4 weeks ago
Bloomberg - Op-Eds

Good Poker Players Aren't Lucky - An Idaho court rules that poker is a game of skill, not a game of chance like craps or roulette. If card players are lucky, maybe the Justice Department wi...
2 months ago
Economix

Economix Meets the Gales of Change - Economix is coming to an end, but it will be succeeded by The Upshot, a new politics, policy and economics site.
3 months ago
Whitebox Research

Friday Fun: Read the Fine Print - A Russian man didn’t like the terms offered to him by a local credit card company, so he took it upon himself to make them more favorable: But instead of r...
11 months ago

Seeking Alpha (Editor Picks)

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Tech Currents

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Quant Blog Currents

Mark Hulbert

Mark Hulbert: Why the 10-year Treasury could yield 4% by Thanksgiving - The Wall of Worry holding up the bond market has now given way to near-record levels of bullishness. That’s not a good sign, writes Mark Hulbert.
2 hours ago
CSS Analytics

VIX-Adjusted Momentum - The addition of many small details can make a big difference in seemingly simple strategies. I often like to use cooking analogies, and so I like to think ...
7 hours ago
DShort

Gasoline Price Update: Down Another Five Cents - [image: Click to view] *July 28th, 2014 Doug Short* It's time again for my weekly gasoline update based on data from the Energy Information Administrati...
14 hours ago
Portfolio Probe

EARL and other upcoming events - Highlighted EARL As in “Effective Applications of the R Language”. 2014 September 15-17, London. Somehow they gave higher billing to Ben Goldacre than to P...
17 hours ago
Alvarez Quant Trading

What I am reading: 7/28/2014 - Recent articles that I found interesting and made me think. Barbell investing with XIV / SVXY One of the concepts he presents is the idea of barbell invest...
22 hours ago
Quantifiable Edges

What Friday’s SPY Gap & Volume Action May Indicate - Not only did SPY leave an unfilled gap down on Friday, but it did so on relatively high volume. The study below, from the 1/13/10 blog, triggered. I took a...
23 hours ago
Greenbackd

Worried about a Crash? (Part 2) Backtests Using Shiller PE to Time The Market (1926 to 2014) - I received a number of emails asking me to revisit the backtests from last week’s post about using the Shiller PE to time the market (Worried about a Crash...
23 hours ago
System Trader Success

Successful Backtesting Of Algorithmic Trading Strategies, Part 2 - In the first article on successful backtesting we discussed statistical and behavioural biases that affect our backtest performance. We also discussed soft...
1 day ago
Daily Quant Ideas

when $SPX breaks the yearly R1 pivot point - [image: $SPX R1 pivot point]$SPX breaks the yearly R1 pivot point h/t@Jeff York $SPX$SPY perfect kiss of the yearly R1 pivot(1990) y’day. We usually see...
1 day ago
Falkenblog

Piketty's Terrifying Dystopia - OK, after a long absence, I'm posting this book review just because I feel like it. It's my personal opinion: Thomas Piketty's bestselling door-stopper *Ca...
1 day ago
Volatility Made Simple

Backtest: Logical-Invest’s Bollinger Band Strategy - This is a test of a VIX trading strategy from the excellent Logical-Invest. The strategy uses Bollinger bands to trade VIX ETPs like XIV (or short VXX). Th...
2 days ago
Troyshu

Free flashcards for the fantastic book on Customer Development, The Mom Test - I made this set of flashcards for the excellent book on Customer Development, The Mom Test, since the process and questions in the book are quite important...
4 days ago
The UK Stock Market Almanac

FOMC announcements and financial markets - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is the monetary policy-making body of the U.S. Federal Reserve System. Since 1981, the FOMC has had eight schedule...
5 days ago
joy of data

Free and Certified MongoDB Online Courses - In case you are interested in learning about MongoDB or generally curious about non-relational approaches to storage of data then my recommendation for you...
5 days ago
Overnight Edges

Overnight Overview for 7/23/14 - Tuesday saw the market reach new highs, but the action did not do much to suggest a strong overnight edge. Below is a look at the Odds Sheet as it stood ne...
5 days ago
Timely Portfolio

Chart from R + Color from Javascript - Another color experiment combining resources from R and Javascript. I just wish I could do Mean Phylogenetic Distance in Javascript like rPlotter. I enjoye...
6 days ago
Exegetic Analytics

Comrades Marathon: A Race for Geriatrics? - It has been suggested that the average Comrades Marathon runner is gradually getting older. As an “average runner” myself, I will not deny that I am person...
6 days ago
Scott's Investments

Investment Reading List - Below is my weekly investment reading list: GMO Quarterly Letter (but see also Swedroe: Debunking Grantham’s Concerns) A Hands-On Lesson in Return Forecast...
1 week ago
Sanz Prophet

Groupee - Here's the question: What can a small group of people do in 30 days? So over @ QuantShare some of the users have created a newly founded group. Starting...
1 week ago
Paper (Subscription)

Pricing of vanilla and first-generation exotic options in the local stochastic volatility framework: survey and new results - Quantitative Finance, Ahead of Print.
1 week ago
World Beta - Faber

Important News Reminder – GTAA ETF - Below is an email letter we sent to shareholders in June. While I strive to avoid discussing work related matters on social media such as this blog and Tw...
1 week ago
NAS Trading

VIX index price changes vs. VIX Futures And ETNs – 7/17/2014 - I saw today that more than a few people were commenting that once again VIX ETNs and ETF’s “failed” to replicate the move in the VIX index. This comment...
1 week ago
Rrsp Strategy

Asset allocation paper makes SSRN top ten downloads - Thanks for all the downloads, emails and comments! Your paper, “EXPLOITING FACTOR AUTOCORRELATION TO IMPROVE RISK ADJUSTED RETURNS”, was recently listed on...
1 week ago
GestaltU

Valuation Based Equity Market Forecasts: Q2 2014 - Any analysis that relies on the past to offer guidance about the future makes the strong assumption that the future will in fact resemble the past. We ha...
2 weeks ago
Alea

Amazon, a Friendly Giant as Long as It’s Fed - Amazon, a Friendly Giant as Long as It’s Fed
2 weeks ago
Six Figure Investing

How Does the CBOE’s VIX® Index Work? - The CBOE did not create the VIX as an academic exercise, or as a service to stock market prognosticators everywhere. They created it because they wanted t...
2 weeks ago
Don't Fear the Bear

Barbell investing with XIV / SVXY - Almost done reading Taleb’s book Antifragile. It’s been a fun read. (Note: I haven’t read his other books yet) One of the concepts he presents is the ide...
3 weeks ago
Quantitative Trading (epchan)

Another "universal" capital allocation algorithm - Financial engineers are accustomed to borrowing techniques from scientists in other fields (e.g. genetic algorithms), but rarely does the borrowing go the ...
3 weeks ago
qusma

Trend Followers Make Forecasts Just Like Everyone Else - This post was prompted by Michael Covel’s interview Traders’ Magazine in which he claims that trend followers don’t try to make predictions. This idea that...
4 weeks ago
FOSS Trading

R/Finance 2014 Review - We've Moved! Update your Reader Now. This feed has moved to: *http://blog.fosstrading.com/feeds/posts/default* Update your reader now with this changed s...
4 weeks ago
amfm Blog

Black swans and tail risk protection - The only constant in the world is change and that phenomenon is not slowing down any time soon. The world is full of more unknown than known variables, whi...
4 weeks ago
Quintuitive

Max-Sharpe Allocations for July - The strategy implementation was posted originally on the Systematic Investor Blog. June’s allocation was good for a 0.6% gain. If you wonder why the reshuf...
4 weeks ago
The Market Fade

Sector Performance and Market Direction: 2007 and Now - Trends in sector rotation have been well covered both as a leading indicator for future equity market returns and also as a tool in tactical asset allocati...
5 weeks ago
Adventures in Analytics and Visualization

Studying Ted Talks, Anscombe's Quartet, and Modern Languages Enrollment - While the feed from a newer github/jekyll blogging platform (patilv.github.io) is registered with blog aggregators, here are snippets of three posts that w...
5 weeks ago
Dekalog Blog

A New Method to Measure Instantaneous Frequency/Periods? - A few posts ago I stated that I was reassessing my dominant cycle code and to that end I have been doing a fair bit of research on the web and found some r...
1 month ago
Systematic Edge

Shiny Market Dashboard - I’ve been asked multiple times regarding code for the dashboard so thought I’d release it. I coded the whole thing in one night last year so it’s not the b...
1 month ago
Quantified Strategies

How To Make Money Daytrading - Articles about daytrading has about twice as many hits than other articles (on this website). What’s so appealing with daytrading? Is it that most people t...
1 month ago
Optimal Momentum

"Fact, Fiction, and Momentum Investing" - The AQR posse (Asness, Frazzini, Israel, and Moskowitz) recently issued a working paper that disproves many often-repeated myths about momentum investing, ...
1 month ago
Gekko Quant

Hidden Markov Models – Forward & Viterbi Algorithm Part 2 of 4 - In the previous post the Hidden Markov Model was defined, however efficient algorithms are need to calculate some the probabilities / perform the marginali...
2 months ago
VIX and More

Low Volatility: How To Profit From a Quiet VIX (Guest Columnist at Barron’s) - Today I was once again a guest columnist at Barron’s, penning Low Volatility: How to Profit From a Quiet VIX for the venerable Barron’s options column, T...
2 months ago
TurnKey Analyst

BIG TurnkeyAnalyst News! - Turnkey Readers, We are transitioning all TurnkeyAnalyst.com and Empiritrage.com content to the Alpha Architect. The old Turnkey Analyst tools will be av...
2 months ago
Condor Options

Changes - I’m happy to announce that I have accepted a position as an equity derivatives analyst at BGC Financial, L.P. in New York. My work starts this week, and ...
2 months ago
Systematic Investor

Calendar Strategy: Fed Days - UPDATE: I was pointed out a problem with original post due to look ahead bias introduced by prices > SMA(prices,100) statement. In the calendar strategy lo...
2 months ago
Bigger Capital

Note to Self: The Importance of not Giving a Shit about Conventional Wisdoms - The next day, after my credential had expired and I’d headed back to New York, I sent my friend David Laurila, a former colleague of mine at Baseball Pro...
3 months ago
Empiritrage

Website Transition - As an FYI, we are transitioning to a new web portal over the next week. Some links to content and material may be broken. We are sorry for any inconvenie...
3 months ago
Math Trading

Order matching algorithms - In today’s markets dominated by High-Frequency algos, room for profits for non-HF (and more importantly, non-HF aware) guys is generally speaking reduced. ...
3 months ago
Quantitative Finance

Effective Number of Bets of Risk Parity Strategies and Tactical Risk Parity by ENB - This post will aim to explore the effective number of bets (http://kylebalkissoon.wordpress.com/2014/04/15/effective-number-of-bets/) of various risk parit...
3 months ago
Larry Connors

Every Day Profitable But One Since January 2008! - An inside look at Virtu, a high frequency trading firm which just filed to go public. https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1592386/000104746914002070/a2...
4 months ago
Quantitative Finance Collector

Performance of Trend Factor in Chinese market - Han, Y.F., and Zhou, G.F. have an interesting working paper on the performance of a trend factor they proposed: Quotation In this paper, we propose a trend ...
4 months ago
QuantTrader

Setting Up CUDA in Visual Studio 2012 - Since the new release of CUDA v5.5 the integration with VS2012 became super-easy. All you have to do is to download the installer from here and run it. The...
10 months ago
Whitebox Research

Friday Fun: Read the Fine Print - A Russian man didn’t like the terms offered to him by a local credit card company, so he took it upon himself to make them more favorable: But instead of r...
11 months ago
A Trader Journal

Enhancing TA trading rules performance using filtered Price Bars - Volatility is an interesting subject. For some it is risk and for others it is opportunity. In a way I think it is both. For a trader, price volatility cre...
11 months ago
Portfolio Cafe

Why Most Investors Fail and How to Rewire for Success - [image: invpsychart]I ran across the above chart on the blog and twitter feed of Angela Zhou…an inspiring and successful trader. Inasmuch as the above cha...
1 year ago
rbresearch

Shiny with PerformanceAnalytics Example - The folks at Rstudio have done some amazing work with the shiny package. From the shiny homepage, “Shiny makes it super simple for R users like you to turn...
1 year ago
Quantitative Trading Systems

Review of Michael Mauboussin, “The Success Equation”, Harvard Business Review Press, 2012. - Michael Mauboussin draws on analysis of success in sports using topics similar to Lewis’ Moneyball, categorization of risk referring to Taleb’s Black Swans...
1 year ago
The R Journal - Latest Issue

Volume 4/2, December 2012 - Editorial Contributed Research Articles What's in a Name? , Paul Murrell It's Not What You Draw,It's What You Don't Draw , Paul Murrell Debuggi...
1 year ago
Alphaism

The Power of Mass Deployment - The power of statistics emerges as the sample size grows. I know, it has been repeated multiple times in Stats 101, a bunch of youtube videos, or maybe Sta...
1 year ago
Quantivity

Multi-Asset Market Regimes - An astute reader suggested reproducing the results from a recent article on regime analysis by Kritzman et al., Regime Shifts: Implications for Dynamic Str...
1 year ago

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Charts & Timing

Evil Speculator

Head For The Beach - It’s the height of summer and over here in Spain we are mere days away from the entire country shutting down in August. No, I’m not kidding. Starting nex...
34 minutes ago
Slope Of Hope with Tim Knight

Gold – Next Leg Up? - I am getting buy signals from higher lows. Already long GDX, maybe time for some GLD Calls.
9 hours ago
ETF Expert

Home Sales Data Incinerates Confidence In Economically Sensitive Stock ETFs - My wife and I sold two condominiums near the tail end of 2005. We could not justify owning residences that were 40% more expensive to own than to rent. Sim...
19 hours ago
TrendFollowing Trader

Bearish Equity Divergences - Highlights - Note the stress pickup in the dollar ruble exchange rate today as the ruble falls in value (capital flight risk) towards its spring (Uk...
22 hours ago
Canadian Couch Potato

Do You Really Know Your Risk Tolerance? - Almost 75 years after it was written, Fred Schwed’s Where are the Customers’ Yachts? remains one of the most entertaining books ever written about the in...
1 day ago
Trader Kingdom

JS Services Price Map | Eurodollar 2nd Option - Eurodollar 2nd Option | 7/28/2014 - 8/1/2014 The JS Services' Price Map is a series of support and resistance levels that are qualified and weighted int...
1 day ago
bclund

Mad Max: Fury Road Trailer Drops At Comic-Con - The trailer for the fourth film in the Mad Max saga premiered yesterday at Comic-Con. Original director George Miller is on board and I have to say, it lo...
1 day ago
Stock Trader's Almanac

Biotech’s Yearend Rally Starts in August $IBB $CELG $GILD $BIIB $AMGN $ALXN - Based upon the NYSE ARCA Biotechnology Index (BTK), biotech shares have enjoyed average gains of 29.1%, 16.4% and 28.0% over the last 5, 10 and 15-year per...
3 days ago
Stockbee

Simple secret to trading success - Procedural memory is memory about how to perform procedures. We have as an adult thousands of procedural memory. We perform these processes without thinki...
4 days ago
Tom McClellan

A-D Line Divergence Again - [image: NYSE Advance-Decline (A-D) Line] The Fed is still pumping liquidity into the banking system, albeit at diminished rates, and the large cap indice...
4 days ago
PeterLBrandt

Asia — about to go parabolic? - The charts of Asian equity markets are extremely constructive across the board I have blown the horn of Asian stock markets repeatedly in this […] Th...
4 days ago
Trader Edge

Recommended Reading 07-24-2014 - Readers repeatedly ask me for book and article recommendations, especially new traders who are interested in learning more about trading and investing. He...
5 days ago
Morpheus Trading Group

Where Are Stocks Headed After Recent Market Volatility? - Two weeks ago, day-to-day volatility, indecision, and choppy price action in the stock market started picking up substantially. When indecision and choppy ...
1 week ago
Following the Trend

Are you trading or gambling? - Do you want to be a gambler or a professional trader? I’m guessing most people who read this would prefer the latter. But are you sure that you’re not a cl...
1 week ago
Derek Hernquist

A New “Trend” For Me - “I believe that understanding what is good is obtained by looking at the way the world works and operating in harmony with it to help […] The post A New ...
1 week ago
Joe Fahmy

A Great Time To Be Patriotic - I was very pleased to see the stock market make new highs today, but I still can’t believe the misery I keep hearing. Instead of […] The post A Great Tim...
3 weeks ago
Chart Swing Trader

The Top Five Stocks I Am Watching Right Now - Although the S&P and Dow might say otherwise, the market has been in a downtrend/correction for almost two months now. For some reason, however, I am a bi...
2 months ago
Trader, Trading & Risk Psychology.

Behavioural Finance Article for Society of Technical Analysis(STA) Magazine - April 2014 - The following link is from an article I wrote for the Society of Technical Analysts Magazine. The aim of the article was to provide an introduction to the ...
2 months ago
A Trader Journal

Enhancing TA trading rules performance using filtered Price Bars - Volatility is an interesting subject. For some it is risk and for others it is opportunity. In a way I think it is both. For a trader, price volatility cre...
11 months ago

Stock Ideas - Short

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TrendFollowing Trader

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ETFs Roundup

Must-know facts about the silver rally - While the metal has had a respectable run over the past month, silver is still playing catch-up after losses earlier this year.
14 hours ago
Investopedia Advisor

Be Ready For A Market Drop With These Stocks - The S&P 500 may be in an uptrend, but here are some stocks to trade in case of a rainy day.
16 hours ago
TrendFollowing Trader

Bearish Equity Divergences - Highlights - Note the stress pickup in the dollar ruble exchange rate today as the ruble falls in value (capital flight risk) towards its spring (Uk...
22 hours ago
Bear of the Day

Bear of the Day: Mattel (MAT) - Bear of the Day -
1 day ago
Bull of the Day

Bull of the Day: Fairchild Semi (FCS) - Bull of the Day -
1 day ago

Tech Currents

Storage Bits

Drobo Mini gets SSD performance - Connected Data announces a new SSD-based Drobo Mini that gives what pro users have been clamoring for: performance. You can now edit video with a redundant...
1 hour ago
Networking

Isle of Man gets 4G LTE service - Huawei teams up with local incumbent Manx Telecom to deploy the Isle of Man’s first 4G LTE service
2 hours ago
Startups

Migraine Buddy Helps Patients And Doctors Work Together For Better Treatment - [image: Photo by Flicker user r. nial bradshaw] Migraines aren’t just awful headaches. They are a neurological condition that often come with cluster of sy...
3 hours ago
Data Center

Microsoft says 'weird things' can happen during Windows Server 2003 migrations - Fix coming for bug that makes Kerberos croak when you run two domain controllers Microsoft has started issuing increasingly stern warnings to move from th...
5 hours ago
Computing

Startup Wants You to Capture the World in 3-D - Mantis Vision is developing 3-D scanning technology that could end up in lots of tablets. Gur Bittan envisions a future where you’re not just capturing a...
8 hours ago
Web

How to Spot a Social Bot on Twitter - Social bots are sending a significant amount of information through the Twittersphere. Now there’s a tool to help identify them. Back in 2011, a team fr...
21 hours ago
Communications

Cheap and Nearly Unbreakable Sapphire Screens Come into View - If Apple is indeed going to make scratch-proof iPhones and iPads with sapphire screens, here’s how it could be done. This fall, rumor has it, Apple will ...
3 days ago
Biomedicine

Seven Must-Read Stories (Week Ending July 26, 2014) - Another chance to catch the most interesting, and important, articles from the previous week on *MIT Technology Review*.
4 days ago

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